FloRacing is the live streaming
home of Progressive American
Flat Track. Complete coverage of
this weekend’s Springfield
Mile I & II presented by Drag
Specialties at the
Illinois State
Fairgrounds will kick
off on both Saturday and
Sunday with the day’s
first practice session at 11:00
a.m. ET (8:00 a.m. PT).
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Parts Unlimited Singles presented by
KICKER
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Three-Way Grand National
Championship Battle Races into
Springfield Mile Doubleheader
Progressive American Flat Track
will take the Grand National
Championship into the Streets of
Downtown Sturgis for this
Sunday’s historic Arrowhead
Brass Sturgis TT.
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It’s On!
Barely over a month ago, Dallas
Daniels (No. 32 Estenson Racing
Yamaha MT-07 DT) held a 19-point
advantage in the Mission AFT
SuperTwins points race on the
strength of a perfect podium
record. At that point, he had
shown no signs of slowing down
while laying the groundwork for
a maiden premier-class crown.
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The Contenders
Jared Mees
Even with his Sturgis setback,
Mees retains the points lead and
has the greatest margin for
error (albeit razor thin). He
needs just less than perfection
in a situation where he’s
performed close to perfectly in
the past, regardless of whether
we’re discussing discipline,
venue, or circumstance.
Brandon Robinson
For Robinson, a first Grand
National Championship would be
every bit as meaningful as a
tenth for Mees. Arguably more
so.
The Mission Roof Systems pilot
has finished inside the
championship top five six times
over his career and inside the
top three on three occasions.
That, combined with his
16-career premier-class Main
Event wins, has earmarked him as
a future AMA Hall of Famer,
already surpassing the career
marks of many enshrined before
him.
Briar Bauman
Already a two-time Grand
National Champion, a third would
put Bauman in that much more
exclusive company. But more than
that, he would complete what has
to go down as an epic underdog
story despite being blessed with
titanic talent.
Since leaving the all-conquering
factory Indian squad following
the 2022 season for an up-start
effort backed by paddock
newcomer Rick Ware Racing,
Bauman’s fortunes have lurched
this way and that, skyrocketing
and plunging in equal measure.
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Give the Blue Bike Its
Due
For all the discussion of Mees,
Robinson, Bauman, Indian, and
KTM, a minor shift in
perspective is all that’s
required to reveal a season
dominated by Estenson Racing and
Yamaha.
If the series paid points to
teams or bikes rather than
riders, the No. 32/95 Yamaha
MT-07 DT would currently lead
the championship by 51 points
and have designs on locking down
the #1 plate as early as
Saturday. Read
More...
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Flash Back
A lot can transpire in less than
a second at the Springfield Mile
– for example, ten riders
blasting past the checkered flag
as happened here in 2019. As a
(semi) brief reminder, here’s a
reprint of the race recap from
that day followed by some
relevant notes:
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Round 14 & 15
Barring disaster, Kody
Kopp (No. 1 Rick Ware
Racing/Parts Plus KTM 450 SX-F)
is well on his way to completing
his page-one rewrite of the
Parts Unlimited AFT
Singles record books.
Seemingly destined to walk away
with more championships and race
wins than any rider in the class
before him, Kopp has his sights
trained on yet another record. Read
More...
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6,4,3,0
The top three’s battle for wins
has left none on the table for
the remainder of the field. That
same field expects to be in with
a shot this weekend, however.
For while the potential for pack
war is very real in the premier
class, it’s close to a certainty
for the 450s.
Who might be the fourth to claim
a win in 2024?
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Minimum Guaranteed Path
to Glory: Mission AFT
SuperTwins
What follows is the absolute
minimum our title contenders can
do and still guarantee themself
the 2024 Grand National
Championship:
Jared Mees (236 points)
1st, 2nd, 2nd
In the scenario where Mees wins
one of the final three races and
takes second in the other two,
he would end up with 303 points,
putting him just ahead of
Robinson’s maximum of 301 (two
wins and a second) under those
conditions.
Brandon Robinson (230
points)
1st, 1st, 1st
Should Robinson sweep the
remaining three races, he’ll
have earned 305 points. That’s
enough to put him clear of the
299-point maximum Mees could
earn in response via three
runners-up. Anything less and
Robinson winds up in the
scenario provided above for
Mees.
Briar Bauman (224
points)
1st, 1st, 1st
Despite facing a deficit twice
as large as Robinson, his
pathway is effectively the same.
Should he win out, he’ll end up
with 299 points, the same that
Mees could muster with three
runners-up, albeit with the
tiebreaker in hand (five wins to
three).
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Minimum Guaranteed Path
to Glory: Parts Unlimited AFT
Singles presented by KICKER
With 289 points, Kody
Kopp is the only rider
with control over their own
destiny in the Parts Unlimited
AFT Singles class.
Chase Saathoff
currently has 255 points. The
maximum he can earn is 330. Even
if Saathoff wins out and ties
Kopp’s wins total of six, Kopp
still owns the tiebreaker by
virtue of more second-place
finishes.
That means Kopp needs to earn 41
points to fend off Saathoff.
That can be accomplished in a
variety of wins, including two
sixths and a seventh.
Tom Drane
currently has 249 points. The
maximum he can earn is 324. If
he were to do so, it would also
give him the tiebreaker, meaning
Kopp needs to score 36 points to
stay ahead of Drane. That could
be done with three eighth-place
finishes.
However, if Kopp wants to lock
this up early as he did in 2022
and 2023, he’ll need to come up
a bit bigger this weekend.
A pair of second-place finishes
does the trick this weekend even
if Saathoff were to claim both
victories.
A second and a fourth locks it
up if Saathoff and Drane were to
split wins.
And a pair of thirds are all
that’s required if Drane happens
to sweep in Springfield.
None are exactly a gimmie, but
all are very much in play.
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American Flat Track
525 Fentress Blvd, Suite B
Daytona Beach, FL 32114
P:
(386) 492-1014
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